markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik': YES=29.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-28?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=24.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket