markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.80%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?': YES=97.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=28.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=89.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=29.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=93.30%
AAPLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-30Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=8.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket