markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group D': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osaka': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=99.90%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=2.30%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket