markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01O/U 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket top market 'O/U 1.5 Rounds': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquet': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group D': YES=28.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-01?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=80.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket