markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-01Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?': YES=97.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=53.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire
Polymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket