markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-01Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallants': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=81.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01O/U 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket top market 'O/U 1.5 Rounds': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket