markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-01Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=97.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=91.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=53.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
NRGmarket:polymarket- 2026-08-01Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=97.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket