markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=52.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group D': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osaka': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=99.90%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=2.30%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket