markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-02Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
BSDAmarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?': YES=95.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 1?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 1?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=81.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-01?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=1.00%
NRGmarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-01?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Mark Lajal
Polymarket top market 'Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Mark Lajal': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket