markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket