markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=53.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-04Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 4.5': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=35.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=19.80%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=47.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket