markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics
Polymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=55.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-05?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfils': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-05?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-05?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream
Polymarket top market 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Joint': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket