markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes
Polymarket top market 'Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=55.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=96.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=34.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket