markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-07Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winner': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=11.00%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakina': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF Landisville: Ayana Akli vs Carolyn Ansari': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=86.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshi': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=95.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Taberner
Polymarket top market 'Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Taberner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwer
Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwer': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket