markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=43.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Miles Johns vs. Jessie Rosas (Featherweight, Main Card)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=96.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket