markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=96.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket