markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-08Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets
Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Kreazion (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 1': YES=50.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain vs. Manchester United: O/U 1.5': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Giant Pandas (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs STATE - Map 1 Winner': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=75.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket