markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauff': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket