markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA release an RTX 5080 Ti?': YES=8.47%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=49.44%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=65.73%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.83%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.83%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.01%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 9?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Call of Duty: OpTic Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=79.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-09?': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-09?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'ITF Koksijde: Barbora Palicova vs Noemi Basiletti': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=85.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-09?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'SC Heerenveen vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-09?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?': YES=14.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Acend (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will AS Monaco win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%