markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,680 events on 2026-08-09role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andrea Guerrieri
Polymarket top market 'Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andrea Guerrieri': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
CIRCLEmarket:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: K27 vs SAW (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs SAW (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Polymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Polymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Counter-Strike: Sinners vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Polymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-09Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket