markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt
Polymarket top market 'Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-10Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Filip Jianu
Polymarket top market 'Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Filip Jianu': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-10New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Lynx vs RE.Arise (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Polymarket top market 'Will GameStop acquire eBay?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket