markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 4.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Pierluigi Basile
Polymarket top market 'Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Pierluigi Basile': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-10Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-10Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Polymarket top market 'Will GameStop acquire eBay?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-10Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket