markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=81.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-11Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=50.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=97.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?': YES=96.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?': YES=8.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Hamburg: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jan Kumstat
Polymarket top market 'Hamburg: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jan Kumstat': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-11Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket