markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 2.5': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Tristan Schoolkate': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5
Polymarket top market 'LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 14?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=26.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket