markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=62.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 3 1. FC Nürnberg?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Afghanistan Tour of Ireland ODIs: Ireland vs Afghanistan': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=87.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket