markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-15Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 16?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Katie Boulter': YES=95.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 1080m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 1080m by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Panthers vs. Bills
Polymarket top market 'Panthers vs. Bills': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-16?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-15?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Vikings vs. Giants
Polymarket top market 'Vikings vs. Giants': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: Tottenham Hotspur O/U 0.5': YES=96.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket