markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=29.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-16Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-16?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-16CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-16?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?': YES=96.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will FC København win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC København win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia Gibson': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-16Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Li
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Li': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevic': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket