markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-17Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=44.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Spread: AEK (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: AEK (-2.5)': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=87.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-172026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket