markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Thailand win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Thailand win on 2026-08-18?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
NXTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=35.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=18.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery
Polymarket top market 'Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keys': YES=7.60%
KEYSmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 5.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=32.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C': YES=99.90%
NXTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket