markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=31.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayh': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket