markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?': YES=34.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cuenin
Polymarket top market 'Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cuenin': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvet': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=14.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket