markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=59.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=44.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=45.18%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia will compete at the foundation layer by Jan 1, 2028': YES=22.16%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=16.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team - Game 4 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Downham Town FC to score first vs. Cornard United FC?': YES=99.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?': YES=4.50%

Polymarket top market 'São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?': YES=98.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 19?': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-18?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=14.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-18?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%