markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Caribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket