markets

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=85.99%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=23.19%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=42.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=41.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?': YES=65.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=68.45%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=61.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=96.80%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=74.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=65.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?': YES=56.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=8.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=4.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?': YES=13.90%