markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=27.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=15.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=13.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?': YES=25.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?': YES=90.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=47.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?': YES=37.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?': YES=85.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket