markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5': YES=97.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=23.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?': YES=97.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?': YES=32.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=12.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=22.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket