markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=93.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?': YES=85.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=64.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket