markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-05Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?': YES=10.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 England?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=56.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Brazil (-1.5)': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-1.5)': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket