markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.53%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=65.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?': YES=4.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?': YES=5.20%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5': YES=56.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5': YES=78.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Erling Haaland: 1+ goals': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Norway leading at halftime?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 England?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-2.5)': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros': YES=30.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=11.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=50.00%