markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Portugal (-1.5)': YES=33.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?': YES=29.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?': YES=16.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance': YES=71.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Spain leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5': YES=55.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5': YES=8.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket