markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=15.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket