markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=64.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Spurs vs. Thunder
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=17.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket