markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Spurs vs. Thunder
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=22.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket