markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=72.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=19.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=92.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket