markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=72.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=95.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarket