markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-05-31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=43.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=36.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Thunder (-3.5)': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Spurs vs. Thunder
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket