markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket