markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=11.81%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.60%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.33%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=72.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 15?': YES=14.30%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=6.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=63.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=7.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=21.60%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-3.5)': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.90%