markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=25.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?': YES=73.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket