markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?': YES=43.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=37.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan
Polymarket top market 'T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola
Polymarket top market 'Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Polymarket top market 'Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket