markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-04US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur
Polymarket top market 'Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=94.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket